Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
14
Ṁ1.2kṀ4kDec 31
98.6%
1510+
94%
1520+
86%
1530+
76%
1540+
65%
1550+
55%
1560+
49%
1570+
39%
1580+
30%
1590+
23%
1600+
Resolved
YES1490+
Resolved
YES1500+
An option resolves YES if any model gets at least that option's arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) without style control, before 2026.
This market's resolution mirrors this polymarket but with additional options.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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