Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?

Question

https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard

All companies that have a model at the top of the leaderboard at any point in 2028

At the top is defined as having the highest Elo score on the leaderboard

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Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?‌

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Google, followed by Anthropic and OpenAI are most likely. See the market for live updates (14 traders, as of Apr 12, 2026).

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