Will I be the victim of market misresolution again before the end of April?
6
100Ṁ54
May 1
54%
chance

Some of my least favorite things about Manifold are misresolutions. Yesterday, I fell victim to two bad resolutions that lost me over 10% of my net worth, despite making correct predictions:

These losses also caused YES bettors to lose their mana on a market about my net worth.

While one of these markets was corrected to NO by a moderator, I remain down Ṁ800 due to an unrectified misresolution in the Bitcoin market. This market addresses whether I will incur any further mana losses specifically due to market misresolutions on Manifold Markets from now until the end of April (Pacific Daylight Time). The misresolution must last for at least an hour to count.

I will not be betting on this market.

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Depends on whether you get better at identifying the people who mis-resolve. I've identified a number of them and blocked them, though I also have blocked some people who just post dumb stuff, so I don't know if my list would help you.

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