Resolution Criteria: Bitcoin Price on March 28?
This market will resolve according to the final “Close” price of the 1-day candlestick for BTC-USD on Coinbase for March 28, 2025, based on Pacific Time (PT).
The resolution source for this market is:
🔗 Coinbase Advanced Trade BTC-USD
The price used will be the official “Close” value as shown on the Coinbase Advanced Trade interface for the BTC-USD pair, using the “1D” (1 day) candlestick timeframe.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the BTC-USD closing price on Coinbase, not any other exchange, ticker, or real-time data feed.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,217 | |
2 | Ṁ577 | |
3 | Ṁ481 | |
4 | Ṁ186 | |
5 | Ṁ181 |
@predyx_markets Can you explain your resolution here?

The 1-day candlestick shows a close price of $84,381.80 for the day.
@predyx_markets This is in Pacific Time. In the screenshot, you'll see UTC-7 in the bottom right corner, which is Pacific Daylight Time (PDT).
@predyx_markets Your screenshot is displaying a different price because you're viewing the 30-minute candlestick, which contradicts the market’s official resolution criteria. The market description explicitly states:
"This market will resolve according to the final 'Close' price of the 1-day candlestick for BTC-USD on Coinbase for March 28, 2025, based on Pacific Time (PT).
The price used will be the official 'Close' value as shown on the Coinbase Advanced Trade interface for the BTC-USD pair, using the '1D' (1 day) candlestick timeframe."
@deagol's comment shows an incorrect result because he used a 1-minute candlestick, which should not be used to resolve the market according to this market's description. If you set your Coinbase Advanced Trade interface timeframe to the required 1-day candlestick (1D) for BTC-USD on March 28 (Pacific Time), the official Close value is clearly shown as $84,381.80, which matches the 84–86k bracket.
I am now respectfully asking that you re-resolve the market to the correct option.
@evan I understand your frustrations, but I sincerely think there is some discrepency in reporting closing price of Coinbase. I had personally verified the close price at 11:59pm PDT and it was below 84k. I didn't take a screenshot at that time - I should have.
It's better that I ask for @mods help to resolve this dispute in most professional manner.
@evan The timezone setting on the 1-day chart has no effect on the chart. No matter what you set it to, it shows the close of each day in UTC time. I mentioned in my comment last night that I couldn't change the timezone of the chart, so that's why I went with the 1-min chart to make sure I wasn't looking at the wrong close. I'm 100% sure $83,763.74 is the right close, and can be verified at several different chart granularities, except the 1-day (irony!). Here's the 1-hour at both UTC (matching the 1-day close) and UTC-7 (the right close):


@deagol Thanks for the clarification, but the market description is unambiguous about which data should be used:
"This market will resolve according to the final “Close” price of the 1-day candlestick for BTC-USD on Coinbase for March 28, 2025, based on Pacific Time (PT)."
That explicitly specifies the 1-day candlestick, not 1-minute or 1-hour candles. The point of specifying the timeframe is to avoid these kinds of disputes about moment-to-moment price movements. Using another timeframe, no matter how precise, directly contradicts the market's stated resolution criteria.
Even if there’s ambiguity about how Coinbase internally handles time zones on the chart, the interface does display the Close value for the 1D candle, and for March 28, that Close is $84,381.80—visible on the Advanced Trade interface. That’s the value the market asked for.
@evan if you notice, I’ve clearly mentioned close time PT not UTC. It’s unfortunate that Coinbase only shows 1D in UTC.
Based on our verification, it was below 84k at 11:59pm PDT.
@evan It's unambiguous in saying it will use the Pacific Time (PT) close. This is extremely relevant and undisputable to those of us trading in real-time down to the last minute (I guess just
@brod and I), as that was the price we were looking at.
What you're suggesting is that seven hours earlier, the 1day chart had already recorded its March 28 candlestick showing the UTC close, and the market was done then, ignoring all about the PT mention in the criteria?
@predyx_markets @deagol I want to reiterate that the market was not asking for the price at 11:59 PM PDT. It was asking for the "Close" price of the 1-day candlestick for BTC-USD on Coinbase, with the additional clarification that the day in question is March 28, 2025, based on Pacific Time.
That does not mean "look at the price at 11:59pm PT"—if it did, the market should have said so explicitly. It says to resolve using the 1-day candlestick... Coinbase’s Advanced Trade UI does show a Close value for each 1D candle. The Close value shown in the UI is $84,381.80! That is the value required by the resolution criteria—no interpretation needed.
@deagol I understand you bet an incorrect answer up to 99%, but this market was carefully worded to avoid ambiguity by specifying a source, a timeframe, and a date. That’s the data format we should use. I ask @predyx_markets to re-resolve the market based on the original resolution criteria.
cc @mods
@evan the market creator has already stated their intent aligns to how I (and other traders last night) read it. If you had asked for resolution or at least clarification when you made your last bet on your interpretation, at around 00:15 UTC yesterday (again, seven hours before midnight PT) then maybe the creator could have clarified it and get us all on the same page. Why didn't you request resolution then? The said 1D candlestick was done and closed.
@evan "this market was carefully worded to avoid ambiguity" seems a bit arrogant to claim to know what the market creator intended with their "carefully worded" criteria, and pretty absurd given they themselves disagree with your "unambiguous" interpretation.
@deagol My last trade on this market bet the correct answer up to 90% after the market should already have resolved. I didn't bet any further because I had no more free mana to spend.

I didn't ask for clarification because none was needed, this market is pretty unambiguous. It is not my problem if others make bad bets on a certain or near-certain resolution, it just means more profit for different traders.
I want to reiterate that the market was not asking for the price at 11:59 PM PDT.
I want to reiterate that that is just your (farfetched imo) interpretation. The creator has already stated the market was asking precisely that, the price at 11:59 PM PT, as has been the case in most every other market by them.
@deagol The market creator did not state the market was about the price at 11:59 PM PDT. This is a resolution criterion that you made up after market close, not one that was ever mentioned in the market description.
You are the second-largest YES holder in the incorrectly resolved "82–84k" option, and it seems to me that you may be arguing in bad faith.
To recap:
The market explicitly states it will resolve to the Close price of the 1-day candlestick for BTC-USD on Coinbase, for March 28, 2025, based on Pacific Time.
It does not ask for the final price at a specific minute (e.g., 11:59 PM), nor does it reference 1-minute or 30-minute candles.
The 1D candlestick timeframe is a standardized data point on Coinbase’s Advanced Trade interface, and for March 28 (in PT), the displayed Close value is $84,381.80.
That Close value is clear, reproducible, and directly matches the criteria laid out in the description.

@evan creator clearly stated so, in not just one, but several . replies . to you.
"must be in pacific time (PDT)" ... "we checked the price for resolution at (03/28 - 11:59pm)" ... "I had personally verified the close price at 11:59pm PDT"

Your baseless accusation of me arguing in bath faith is laughable. You are also the second-largest holder of the option you are arguing for, and I haven't resorted to such a childish defamatory ploy. The facts remain, and your 'recap' is just your flawed interpretation: the description states the price is the close based on Pacific Time (PT), and the creator confirmed to you four times that was the intended meaning.
I'm done arguing here. If @mods want to take your view even against the market creator's obviously intended and clearly stated resolution deadline of 11:59 PM PT, I'll accept the 2k loss as a small dent on my balance, but would be a huge betrayal to Manifold's philosophy of letting creators decide, manage and resolve their markets as they intended, and only correcting obvious mistakes and fraudulent cases.
@predyx_markets Resolves to 82-84k, thanks! I can't set it to PT, but here's the close for the 2:59 AM ET 1-min candlestick:

@deagol lol was trying to suck the liquidity out of every other answer
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
aw crap i'm on the wrong side of this lol