Will this market resolve?

closes 3000

91%

chance

ALL

I may resolve this market to YES at any time. I may resolve it to N/A at any time. I may never resolve it at all. The only thing you can be sure of is that I will not resolve it to NO or any percentage <100.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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64% chance

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21% chance

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70% chance

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34% chance

Which month will this market resolve in?

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Will the market "This market should resolve to YES in 2024, but I will not personally resolve it" resolve to YES in 1mo?

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96% chance

How will this market be resolved?

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Will the ACX AR Headset Market resolve N/A?

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16% chance

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Will a 1Password breach cause this other market to resolve YES?

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3% chance

Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market?

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10% chance

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83% chance

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25% chance

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3.3

Will I accidently misresolve another market this year?

37% chance

Sort by:

Dylan Slaghbought Ṁ312 of YES

@f0cker perhaps we can come to some sort of peace agreement?

6 replies

f0ckerpredicts NO

@DylanSlagh Listening

Dylan Slaghbought Ṁ0 of YES

@f0cker well I can't control what anyone else does but perhaps we keep the price at 90%? believe both of our losses would be about equal then

f0ckerbought Ṁ100 of NO

@DylanSlagh should be 90% now

Dylan Slaghpredicts YES

@IsaacKing lol

Dylan Slaghpredicts YES

@IsaacKing you ruined our perfectly cordial peace agreement 😠

Isaac Kingpredicts YES

@DylanSlagh It's true

Trongbought Ṁ66 of YES

do you accept bribes

3 replies

Isaac King

@8 I accept bribe offers, sure! I may or may not accept the actual bribe. :)

Trongpredicts YES

@IsaacKing i present to you, the highly tempting offer of 5 mana to resolve this market to YES.

Isaac King

@8 Nah

Manifold in the WildBot

Will this market resolve?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Boklambought Ṁ10 of YES

Just trying to make a quick buck (Muck?) here.

Javier Chavez bought Ṁ2 NO at 91%

Isaac King filled limit order Ṁ131/Ṁ1,000 YES at 91%

Dylan Slagh bought Ṁ10 NO from 91% to 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 91% 🤖

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ32/Ṁ1,500 YES at 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 90% 🤖

f0cker bought Ṁ100 NO from 92% to 89%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 5%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 10%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 20%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 30%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 40%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 50%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 75%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 70%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 60%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ250 YES at 86%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ250 YES at 87%

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ250/Ṁ250 YES at 89%

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ250/Ṁ250 YES at 90%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ250 YES at 91% (cancelled)

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ312/Ṁ1,500 YES at 92% (cancelled)

f0cker bought Ṁ10 NO from 90% to 89%

Alex Lien sold Ṁ3 NO at 90%

Alex Lien sold Ṁ10 NO from 89% to 90%

Alex Lien sold Ṁ11 NO from 88% to 89%

f0cker bought Ṁ100 NO from 89% to 88%

f0cker bought Ṁ100 NO at 89%

f0cker bought Ṁ100 NO from 91% to 89%

f0cker bought Ṁ100 NO from 95% to 91%

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ504/Ṁ504 YES at 95%

Meg bought Ṁ5 YES at 93%

Traveel sold Ṁ18 NO from 92% to 93%

Dylan Slagh created limit order for Ṁ1,000 YES at 92% (cancelled)

f0cker bought Ṁ10 NO at 92%

f0cker bought Ṁ10 NO from 93% to 92%

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ35/Ṁ500 YES at 88%

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ500/Ṁ500 YES at 89%

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ500/Ṁ500 YES at 91%

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ500/Ṁ500 YES at 92%

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ500/Ṁ500 YES at 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ70/Ṁ100 NO at 93% (cancelled) 🤖

Dylan Slagh filled limit order Ṁ1,500/Ṁ1,500 YES at 94%

Alex Lien bought Ṁ10 YES at 90%

Alex Lien sold Ṁ0 NO at 90%

Related questions

Will the linked market resolve YES?

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64% chance

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96% chance

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83% chance

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Will I accidently misresolve another market this year?

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37% chance