At the end of the 2020s, will Manifold think it was the most important decade in human history?
10
200Ṁ2512030
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
30%
Yes
68%
No
Resolves to poll at market close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@JussiVilleHeiskanen Trader bonuses. Since the trader bonus changes a few months ago, it takes 200 liquidity to get Ṁ10 trader bonuses on a two option multi-choice, and it takes 1000 liquidity to match that on a binary market.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
52% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
89% chance
What decade will be considered the decade of the most rapid technological progress in 2040 by Manifold?
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
53% chance
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
64% chance
In 2040, who will Manifold vote as having had the most positive impact on the development of AI in the 21st century?
Will a silly Manifold market wipe out humanity before 2030?
1% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
64% chance