Which stocks will outperform the S&P 500 during 2025?πŸ“Š πŸ“ˆπŸ’°πŸ€‘πŸ’³
70
2.6kαΉ€13k
2026
76%
Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA, BRKB)
70%
Costco
69%
Amazon
66%
Visa
66%
Celsius Holdings (CELH)
66%
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
60%
Google
59%
Dollar General
59%
Lemonade (LMND)
59%
Palantir
56%
Walmart
56%
Meta
54%
ProShares Short S&P500 ETF (SH)
53%
Intel
52%
MRNA
52%
AMD
52%
Micron
50%
NestlΓ©
50%
Starbucks (SBUX)
50%
Nike (NKE)

Please feel free to add whatever stocks you like.

Resolution Criteria

  • A stock will resolve YES if its percentage return exceeds the S&P 500's percentage return for the calendar year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 - Dec 31, 2025)

  • A stock will resolve NO if its percentage return is equal to or less than the S&P 500's return

  • If a stock is delisted, acquired, or undergoes a major corporate restructuring, it will be evaluated based on the return up to that event

  • If a stock splits or reverse splits, the returns will be adjusted accordingly

  • Update 2024-19-12 (PST): Returns will be calculated using total return which includes both dividends and stock price appreciation. (AI summary of creator comment)

Get
αΉ€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

why plantir?

Do you adjust for dividends?

@BenjaminNewlon

Yep, total returns include dividends and stock price appreciation

Good question; ive added it to the description

bought αΉ€28 NO

@elf Will you include dividends in the SP500 return? Will you assume that dividends are reinvested? (I believe both of those would be pretty standard assumptions for this kind of question.)

@EmilyConn Yep, good questions. Will also explicitly state this in description.

bought αΉ€50 YES

I’m going to take $100 and create a stock portfolio on the top 5 stocks.

adjust to the market % on 1st of every month and post the portfolio performance

@PaulHan great idea! let us know how it goes

Β© Manifold Markets, Inc.β€’Terms + Mana-only Termsβ€’Privacyβ€’Rules