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MANIFOLD
Will my portfolio outperform the S&P 500 from now till May 31st, 2026?
9
Ṁ1kṀ1.4k
resolved Jun 18
Resolved
YES

Portfolio weights:

NVDA - 17%

QQQ - 16%

VOO - 15%

AAPL - 11%

META - 9%

VT - 7%

XLU - 6%

DUOL - 5%

ANET - 3%

Market resolves to YES on May 31st, 2026 if based on the above weights, portfolio exceeds the S&P 500 Index in percentage returns from December 6, 2025 to May 31, 2026 after market close. Otherwise, market resolves to NO.

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had to close early as i managed to get access to the account and having multiple accounts violates TOS, so resolved YES and sent refunds to all no buyers through this account. thanks!

bought Ṁ70 NO

My calculation shows your portfolio down -7.2% while the S&P is down -3.7% right now
Basis on Dec 6 market close