Will the S&P500 outperform the total world stock market over the next 50 years?
7
38
Ṁ65Ṁ220
2074
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund's (VT) total return is less than the Vanguard 500 Index Fund (VOO) total return, from 4/2/24 until 4/2/74, this market resolves YES. If not, resolves NO.
Resolution source will be the calculation based on the spreadsheet below:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2028?
74% chance
Will the S&P 500 be above 4500 at the end of 2024?
88% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 5% in one day in 2024?
25% chance
Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 10% over 2024?
55% chance
Will the S&P 500 be above 5000 at the end of 2024?
70% chance
Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 20% over 2024?
34% chance
Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 15% over 2024?
49% chance
Will the S&P 500 be above 5500 at the end of 2024?
39% chance
Will the five most valuable members of the S&P 500 be more than 21% of the index's value in 2025?
79% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase in 2024?
85% chance