Will the S&P500 outperform the total world stock market over the next 50 years?
Basic
7
Ṁ642074
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund's (VT) total return is less than the Vanguard 500 Index Fund (VOO) total return, from 4/2/24 until 4/2/74, this market resolves YES. If not, resolves NO.
Resolution source will be the calculation based on the spreadsheet below:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in one day in 2024?
1% chance
Will S&P 500 increase in 2024?
96% chance
Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 10% over 2024?
97% chance
Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer that 365 days before 2035?
43% chance
Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 20% over 2024?
84% chance
Will the S&P500 grow faster than inflation between 2023-2025?
81% chance
Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer than 365 days before 2030?
19% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q4 2024?
30% chance
Will S&P 500 increase by over 1.5% on any day in Nov 2024?
99% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?
56% chance