Are Recursive Language Models the "Next Frontier" of AI in 2026 according to Manifold users?

An AI is trustworthy-ish on Manifold by 2030?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

By 2040, will AI be capable of creating a working Manifold clone to a prompt?

Who will believe in AGI first, Manifold (Yes) or OpenAI (No)?

Will AI wipe out Manifold by 2030?

Will manifold think "it would be safer if all AI was open source" when:

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]