Will the US federal government actually have a "Department of Government Efficiency"?
76
1kṀ45kresolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a department of the US federal government with the exact name "Department of Government Efficiency" (up to capitalization differences) and a set of responsibilities that roughly matches this name is created by November 12, 2025 at 11:59PM Eastern Time (a year after this market was created). Resolves NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ711 | |
| 2 | Ṁ696 | |
| 3 | Ṁ607 | |
| 4 | Ṁ569 | |
| 5 | Ṁ471 |
People are also trading
Related questions
How many entire government agencies will be eliminated by within one year of Trump taking office?
Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?
6% chance
Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through 2025
21% chance
Will the 2025-2029 administration close a federal department in the US before Jan 20th, 2029?
48% chance
No federal department will exist in 2027
7% chance
Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?
13% chance
Will a large government organization be run as a futarchy before 2030?
19% chance
Will any major three letter USA federal agency stop operating before 2045, if yes, which one first?
Will working for the Federal government be considered an EA cause area by 2028?
39% chance
Will there be a company larger than the US Government by 2040?
20% chance