Will the US federal government actually have a "Department of Government Efficiency"?
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Plus
43
Ṁ11k
2025
20%
chance

Resolves YES if a department of the US federal government with the exact name "Department of Government Efficiency" (up to capitalization differences) and a set of responsibilities that roughly matches this name is created by November 12, 2025 at 11:59PM Eastern Time (a year after this market was created). Resolves NO otherwise.


Note that, under the current system, creating a new department requires an act of Congress to that effect.

Inspired by https://www.npr.org/2024/11/12/g-s1-33972/trump-elon-musk-vivek-ramaswamy-doge-government-efficiency-deep-state

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bought Ṁ100 NO

The DOGE as currently proposed does not satisfy this market, fwiw.

bought Ṁ350 NO

@njmkw Agreed! Specifically says “outside the government”

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