How will these resolve if no announcements come from DoGE to the public, and Trump instead directly announces his intention to eliminate/privatize them instead? That is to say - how's this resolve if Trump preempts DoGE?

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/doge/elon-musk-suggests-us-privatize-postal-service-amtrak-rcna194960

Elon Musk suggests the U.S. should privatize the Postal Service and Amtrak

Trump adviser and tech mogul Elon Musk suggested Wednesday that the U.S. government should privatize "as much as possible" and named Amtrak and the U.S.

@Marnix He was not speaking on behalf of the government here.

@Shai Yes. I don't think this should resolve yes now - but I'm very confident it will.

@JeffBerman Is incorporating it into a different agency or department considered "eliminate"?

What if it gets fully absorbed? is there a gray line here? where is it? or does "eliminate" only mean in cases where the function doesn't exist anymore

@FergusArgyll What we're tracking here is which agencies DOGE announces it seeks to privatize or eliminate. If the goal is the elimination of that agency, that resolves YES. Whether or not some of its work is taken up by another agency does not play a part in the resolution.

Perhaps, due to the legal issues (ahem) of unilaterally eliminating entire agencies, DOGE will simply gut them from the inside leaving the agency itself technically active (maybe with a single digit number of employees). Then congress can pass laws to dissolve said agencies or assign new requirements to beef them up again.

And also:

https://manifold.markets/JeffBerman/will-there-be-an-attempted-physical

@traders Another interesting DOGE market:
https://manifold.markets/JeffBerman/will-there-be-an-attempted-physical

I think NOAA / NWS are obvious targets as well, since there's some pre-existing Republican momentum to privatize those agencies.

@nonnihil Feel free to add that to the list.

What is considered an announcement from DOGE rather than a personal announcement from Elon or Vivek?

@squirrelfish Good question. If they’re speaking on behalf of the government, that counts. Random personal tweets do not.