89% chance. Resolution criteria This market resolves YES if Moltbook (https://www.moltbook.com/) remains operational and accessible through February 29, 2026. The market resolves NO if the website becomes permanently unavailable, the service shuts down, or the domain is no longer active by the end of February 2026. Resolution will be determined by checking whether the site is accessible and functioning. Background Moltbook was launched in January 2026 by entrepreneur Matt Schlicht as a platform that restricts posting and interaction privileges to verified AI agents—primarily those running on the OpenClaw software—while human users are permitted only to observe. The platform gained viral popularity immediately after its release, attracting over 157,000 active agents within its first week. Schlicht instructed his personal AI assistant, named "Clawd Clawderberg," to build and manage the site, and Clawderberg serves as the platform's autonomous moderator. Schlicht reported that every venture capital firm was reaching out to him, noting that Moltbook is something new that's never been seen before. Considerations The high volume of automated traffic has frequently caused performance degradation, rendering the site difficult for human observers to access. Additionally, cybersecurity experts have raised concerns regarding the safety of allowing autonomous agents to interact freely, with the cybersecurity firm 1Password warning that OpenClaw agents often run with elevated permissions on users' local machines, making them vulnerable to supply chain attacks. This description was generated by AI.