Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030? | Manifold

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

113

2.3kṀ20k

2030

83%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market's resolution piggybacks on Jeff Atwood and John Carmack's bet documented on the Coding Horror blog: https://blog.codinghorror.com/the-2030-self-driving-car-bet/

However they resolve their bet is how this market resolves.

Self-Driving Vehicles

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?

Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?

Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?

Will a Level 4 autonomous vehicle service be operating publicly in at least five major cities globally by EOY 2025?

Will Level 5 (fully autonomous) cars be commercially available on any Australian roads by 2028?

Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?

Once level 5 self-driving cars are available to the public, will any pre-2024 Tesla model be capable of it?

Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2025?

Related questions

Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?

Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?

Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?

Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?

Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?

Will a Level 4 autonomous vehicle service be operating publicly in at least five major cities globally by EOY 2025?

Will Level 5 (fully autonomous) cars be commercially available on any Australian roads by 2028?

Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?

Once level 5 self-driving cars are available to the public, will any pre-2024 Tesla model be capable of it?

Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy