Will an LLM be able to solve confusing but elementary geometric reasoning problems in 2024? (strict LLM version)
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resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

This is a variant of the following market:

https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-an-llm-be-able-to-solve-confus

In this version, the problem has to be solved purely by the LLM itself.

Open question: Does GPT-o1 count as "strictly an LLM"? Seems super ambiguous to me. I've sold my shares in this market so I can just make a judgment call. The default is yes, it counts, but if I hear a compelling counterargument in the comments, I'll make an update.

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