Conditional on EMBRACING the Anti-Settings Principle, will Manifold stay on its rocketship trajectory?
19
104Ṁ465resolved Jul 20
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Anti-Settings Principle: https://blog.bmndr.co/choices
Stay tuned for specifics on what "staying on its rocketship trajectory" means but it will be something ascertainable from https://manifold.markets/analytics
This is one half of a decision market. The idea is to see which choice would yield the better outcome for Manifold and the community. The other half, for the other choice, is here:
https://manifold.markets/dreev/conditional-on-rejecting-the-antise
Close date updated to 2022-07-20 11:59 pm
Mar 15, 4:00pm: Shall we go with daily active users > 200 as the operationalization of "stays on its rocketship trajectory"?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ98 | |
2 | Ṁ30 | |
3 | Ṁ29 | |
4 | Ṁ23 | |
5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?
89% chance
At the end of 2025, will Manifold think things have changed for the worse for us as a society?
88% chance
Will a Karma System be successful on Manifold, if implemented?
58% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
82% chance
Will my Manifold prediction streak remain unbroken through 2025?
60% chance
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
50% chance
Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?
71% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
51% chance
Conditional on another positive leap second by end of 2035, will it cause any bugs on Manifold?
21% chance