Conditional on REJECTING the Anti-Settings Principle, will Manifold stay on its rocketship trajectory? | Manifold

Conditional on REJECTING the Anti-Settings Principle, will Manifold stay on its rocketship trajectory?

15

102Ṁ682

resolved Jul 20

Resolved

N/A

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Anti-Settings Principle: https://blog.bmndr.co/choices Stay tuned for specifics on what "staying on its rocketship trajectory" means but it will be something ascertainable from https://manifold.markets/analytics This is one half of a decision market. The idea is to see which choice would yield the better outcome for Manifold and the community. The other half, for the other choice, is here: https://manifold.markets/dreev/conditional-on-embracing-the-antise Close date updated to 2022-07-20 11:59 pm

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I am a bit confused as when I look at the analytics I do not see a rocketship trajectory, so how could it be stayed on?

@SneakySly Yeah, I think Manifold is doing amazing but what looked rocketship-ish when I created this market looks more like holding steady now. In any case, my sense is the founders happily embrace the anti-settings principle and so this market resolves to N/A and the sister market to NO.

Oops, thanks, updating the market close date now.

What's the timeline for this market? A week seems a bit short-term to evaluate the effects of these kinds of principles.

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What is your personal prior for Manifold still being around in 2030?

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Will I regret leaving Manifold?

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