Conditional on another positive leap second by end of 2035, will it cause any bugs on Manifold?
Standard
11
Ṁ2512036
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if /Yev/will-there-be-another-positive-leap resolves NO.
Resolves YES if the next positive leap second causes some bug on Manifold and NO if it doesn't.
For example, if trades made during the leap second are displayed in the wrong order in trade history, that would cause this market to resolve YES. However if all such bugs are fixed in preparation for the leap second, it would resolve NO.
Bugs in Manifold bots do not count.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold resolve this time-going-backwards bug by Feb. 1, 2023?
50% chance
Will Manifold think that AI progress between Nov 2023-Oct 2024 will have been >= the progress between Nov 2022-Oct 2023?
51% chance
Will there be a bank run on Manifold before 2028?
36% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
47% chance
Will Manifold still be horribly glitchy by 2025?
47% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2040?
63% chance
Will Manifold resolve this time-going-backwards bug by 2019?
50% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
83% chance
Will my actions or CoolFold related activities cause YET ANOTHER bug/crash/problem on Manifold again before EOY 2024?
63% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
71% chance