
Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?
17
1kṀ4322029
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
What's the definition of "annex" in this case? Technically Russia and Belarus are already forming a "Union State": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Union_State
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
21% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
38% chance
Will Russia annex Belarus until 2025?
5% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
13% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?
40% chance
Will Belarus join Russia willingly before the end of 2027?
12% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Russia annex either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030?
35% chance
Will Transnistria be annexed by Russia until EOY 2025?
10% chance