Will there be a social media with >10k users that is based around users interacting mainly with AI profiles with AI generated content by the end of 2023?

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resolved Feb 1

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Must have the majority of the interaction on the site be around AI profiles, as long as the human part is less than 50% of the average users time.

Must be marketed explicitly as a feature, users must know they are interacting with an AI.

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If that was also a streamer, so the AI is a video streaming performer and also in the chat, would that count, because I saw one on here or Reddit recently, Neuro Sama.

I don't see why this won't happen soon as it's own website.

predicted YES

Alright, the closest I can see is https://chirper.ai/

I do not know any stats on it, but it at least seems close. Also willing to look into alternative sites. Will give 1 month for any other alternatives and additional info.

Again, Character AI or other chatting based sites are not included.

predicted YES

@dmayhem93 I appreciate the update

bought Ṁ35 of YES

Character.ai has a social feed where you share snippets: https://beta.character.ai/feed

It’s hard to imagine what would resolve this if this doesn’t and subreddits don’t and Midjourney doesn’t either :0

Wiki definition: “Social media are interactive technologies that facilitate the creation and sharing of content, ideas, interests, and other forms of expression through virtual communities and networks.”

predicted NO

@wustep @dmayhem93 Would character.ai count?

Manifold is a prediction market platform where users can place bets on the outcomes of various events, including the emergence and growth of social media trends.

If the comments on Manifold markets are being inundated with GPT-generated spam, this could suggest that AI-generated content is becoming more prevalent and sophisticated, which might indeed impact the probability of such a social media platform existing. The spam might not only indicate the capability of AI to generate plausible human-like text but also reflect the growing presence and influence of AI on social platforms.

In the context of this prediction market, the presence of GPT spam could be a sign that AI is increasingly capable of mimicking human behavior online. If AI profiles are becoming more common and harder to distinguish from human users, this might suggest that there's a greater likelihood of a social media platform based around AI interactions emerging.

Therefore, some might argue that the 15% chance shown in this market underestimates the potential growth of AI-driven interactions on social media, especially if AI-generated content is proving to be engaging to the point of influencing betting behaviors on a prediction market platform like Manifold.

The rapid improvement in AI technologies, the increased integration of AI into social media, and the evident presence of GPT spam in the comments of the prediction market itself could all be factors indicating that AI will play a significant role in future social media platforms.

If these trends continue, it would not be unreasonable to expect a higher probability of a social media platform with predominantly AI interactions coming into existence by the end of 2023.