Will there be a community formed around a self-reflective AI e-celebrity by 2028?
13
closes 2028
91%
chance
Get Ṁ500 play money

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tailcalled avatar
tailcalled
ElliotDavies avatar
Elliot Daviesbought Ṁ10 of YES

I'm not quite sure I understand the resolution criteria. Going off the fact virtual influencers have millions of followers, I can't be long until someone plugs an interesting LLM into one and creates the first "ai influencer"

2 replies
tailcalled avatar
tailcalled

@ElliotDavies If it's not just a party trick but instead a persona that persoatently has a bunch of fans that it talks with then yes, I would count that.

Going from the probabilities, it appears that this is quite a safe prediction and the outcome is overdetermined. I'm thinking maybe I should set up a bunch of markets about how far it will go.

ElliotDavies avatar
Elliot Daviesbought Ṁ30 of YES

@tailcalled that sounds about right to me - but I suspect making good resolution criteria is quite hard unless you have a real vision for what the future will look like