By the end of 2025, will I know about megagame/wargame, which used prediction markets?
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100แน5Dec 30
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By the end of 2025, will I know about civil megagame/wargame, which used prediction markets as a source for action success probability or for simulating NPC actions?
Resolves No by default, Resolves yes if I find an article/video of such an event.
Military/secret service simulations do not count.
Games in virtual space/internet do not count, only in person event.
Game includes 20+ people including staff.
Could have happened before the market creation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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