Back by popular demand. Last year's market: https://manifold.markets/diadematus/which-of-my-2025-chess-goals-will-i

Compared to last year, I started the year rated 1902, and already played one 4-round tournament, gaining +20 rating points and beating a 2095-rated player in the process

I still don't train much. my personal goal remains the same, to play a lot, and play well enough to qualify for my country's round robin national championship in December (of the 12 best players by TPR).

Random notes:

• i will obviously only buy and hold YES, calibrated to my confidence

• i will try to provide updates early and often, and will answer any inquiries in the comments

• same as last year, I will only resolve YES or NO. If I become incapacitated, or abandon any of these goals early (~15% chance) i will resolve NO. If WW3 or other force majeure events happen, i will resolve NO

• all the markets implicitly assume classical OTB play and nothing else

• i reserve the right to resolve any ambiguous markets based on my best judgement, in the spirit of what i intended