If Russia cuts off gas supplies to Germany this winter, will NATO or EU forces blockade ground-based travel between Russia and Kaliningrad between 1 October 2022 and 1 March 2023?

Question

Question 4 here: https://www.swiftcentre.org/what-happens-to-germany/

Resolves N/A if this market resolves no: https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-russia-cut-off-gas-supplies-to

Part of a series of questions posed by the Swift Centre for Applied Forecasting:

https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-russia-cut-off-gas-supplies-to

https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-does-not-cut-off-gas-supp

https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to

https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to-c61521e972b1

https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to-d534e2659469

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Mar 22, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

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