If Russia does not cut off gas supplies to Germany this winter, will Germany cut power to households by more than an average of one hour per household between 1 October 2022 and 1 March 2023?
4
Ṁ120Ṁ465resolved Mar 5
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question 2A here: https://www.swiftcentre.org/what-happens-to-germany/
Resolves N/A if this market resolves yes: https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-russia-cut-off-gas-supplies-to
Part of a series of questions posed by The Swift Centre for Applied Forecasting:
1. https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-russia-cut-off-gas-supplies-to
2. https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-does-not-cut-off-gas-supp
3. https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to
4. https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to-c61521e972b1
5. https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to-d534e2659469
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be widespread heating outages in Moscow this winter?
14% chance
Will Germany have a shortage of natural Gas by the end of 2027?
13% chance
Will there be coal power plants for energy generation in Germany at the end of 2030?
85% chance
Will Germany have nuclear power again before 2030?
4% chance