If Russia cuts off gas supplies to Germany this winter, will Germany cut power to households by more than an average of one hour per household between 1 October 2022 and 1 March 2023?
17
20
Ṁ2KṀ280
resolved Mar 22
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question 2B here: https://www.swiftcentre.org/what-happens-to-germany/
Resolves N/A if this market resolves no: https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-russia-cut-off-gas-supplies-to
Part of a series of questions posed by The Swift Centre for Applied Forecasting:
1. https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-russia-cut-off-gas-supplies-to
2. https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-does-not-cut-off-gas-supp
3. https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to
4. https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to-c61521e972b1
5. https://manifold.markets/dglid/if-russia-cuts-off-gas-supplies-to-d534e2659469
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ43 | |
2 | Ṁ37 | |
3 | Ṁ9 | |
4 | Ṁ8 | |
5 | Ṁ4 |
More related questions
Related questions
Will Germany have a shortage of natural Gas by the end of 2027?
15% chance
Will the entire country of Russia be disconnected from the rest of the internet for at least one hour during 2024?
18% chance
Will EU try to buy more than 10% of its yearly gas consumption from Russia in 2023?
53% chance