Will this market get misresolved?
For the purposes of this market, the aforementioned market is considered misresolved if:
a) it resolves YES, when any of the 20 points in 'Trump's proposed peace deal' [1][2][3], are not accepted by Hamas.
b) it resolves NO, when all of the 20 points in 'Trump's proposed peace deal' [1][2][3], are accepted by Hamas.
c) it resolves N/A, when a YES or NO resolution according to points a/b would have been fairly clear.
This is about the initial resolution of the market, a moderator re-resolving it would not affect this market.
I will not bet on this market, but I probably will heavily argue to influence a specific resolution in the original market
1,000People are also trading
@dgga are you ok if I trade in this market? 😉
Seriously, though, reading your criterion (1), it appears you'd consider it a misresolution of my market if Hamas accepts 19/20 criteria, with the remaining 1 being not one of the "big ones", and the revised 19/20 deal is agreed to by all parties. Am I correct about that?
And re. (3), I assume your criterion here means YES and NO ought to be judged in the same maximally strict manner you describe in (1) and (2)?
The original creator in the linked has already stated that some of the points do not need to be accepted in order for that market to resolve YES. There is virtually no way Hamas will agree to all 20 points exactly as written. So if the original market resolves YES, then this market resolves YES. On the other hand, if the original market resolves NO, this market will almost certainly resolve NO as well because this market's creator seems to have a stricter version of what YES means in mind. This is for all practical purposes a copy of the linked market imo.
@Balasar Oh but I suppose the probability of an N/A resolution is nontrivial, and that probability mass favors a YES resolution here quite heavily.