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MANIFOLD
On October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
2
Ṁ1kṀ47
Oct 25
50%
x ≥ 5
50%
x ≥ 10
50%
x ≥ 15
50%
x ≥ 20
50%
x ≥ 25
47%
x ≥ 30
42%
x ≥ 35

Question

On October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on October 25th 2026. Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.

If the data are not available by end of day November 25th, I will resolve each market to NA.

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