MANIFOLD
On April 9th, what will the 7-day moving average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
0
Ṁ1k
resolved Apr 2
ResolvedN/A
Resolved
N/A
x ≥ 2
Resolved
N/A
x ≥ 2.5
Resolved
N/A
x ≥ 3
Resolved
N/A
x ≥ 3.5
Resolved
N/A
x ≥ 4
Resolved
N/A
x ≥ 4.5
Resolved
N/A
x ≥ 5

Question

On April 9th, what will the 7-day moving average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?

Resolution Criteria

Let x be the seven day moving average for the number of ships passing the Strait of Hormuz for April 9th 2026. Using IMP PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the stated in equality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise. For example, if x = 4, then the market for x ≥ 4 would resolve to YES, the market for x ≥ 4.5 would resolve to NO etc.

If the data for April 9th are not released by end of day April 30th, I will resolve the market to NA.

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