Will the UN add a new member state before 2030?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ537
2030
77%
chance

This answer resolves to "Yes" if the UN website[1], or any other formal UN communication, adds a new member state. The addition of a new observer state does not count.

[1] https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states

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Definitely yes. In 2019 the Papua New Guinean government agreed to give Bougainville independence by the year 2027.
predicts YES
Wait, it seems like PNG needs to ratify first.
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