This market predicts when Elon Musk will become the world's first trillionaire.
Context
Elon Musk recently became the first person to reach a net worth of $500 billion. His wealth has grown exponentially in recent years, from $24.6 billion in March 2020 to $100 billion in late 2020, $200 billion in 2021, $400 billion in 2024, and $500 billion in October 2025.
Musk's wealth is primarily tied to his stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. Tesla shareholders will vote on November 6, 2025, on a compensation package that could potentially add up to $1 trillion to Musk's wealth over the next decade if Tesla reaches a market cap of $8.5 trillion.
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to the answer that most accurately reflects when Elon Musk's net worth first exceeds $1 trillion USD, as reported by either Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list or Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
If Musk's net worth does not reach $1 trillion by December 31, 2036, this market resolves to "January 2037 or later."
Sources for resolution:
1,000