This market predicts whether Avatar: Fire and Ash will earn more than $373 million in domestic (USA) box office by December 31, 2025.
The film is directed by James Cameron and stars Sam Worthington, Zoe Saldaña, Sigourney Weaver, and Kate Winslet. It introduces new Na'vi tribes including the Ash People (led by Oona Chaplin's Varang) and the Wind Traders (led by David Thewlis' Peylak).
For context, Avatar (2009) earned $785M domestically, while Avatar: The Way of Water (2022) earned $684M domestically.
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on official box office data from The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)) or Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) as of December 31, 2025. If the domestic box office total exceeds $373M by this date, the market resolves YES; otherwise, it resolves NO.
1,000Why $373M? 680-307, see below:
Source: https://www.the-numbers.com/news/259850830-Numbers-Business-Report-2026-Q1-Box-Office-Prediction-The
"In fact, the quarter’s overall performance will rely heavily on the late-2025 release of Avatar: Fire and Ash. Scheduled for December 19, 2025, the film is predicted to earn $680,000,000 in total, with about $307 million of that falling in the New Year. "