"Avatar: Fire and Ash" worldwide box office?
10
1kṀ2630Mar 16
9%
1.4 - 1.6 billion
46%
1.6 - 1.8 billion
33%
1.8 - 2.0 billion
7%
2.0 - 2.2 billion
3%
2.2 - 2.4 billion
2%
Resolution source: BoxOfficeMojo, "WORLDWIDE".
For comparison, "Avatar: The Way of Water" has a current worldwide gross of $2,343,477,301.
This market is based on the initial theatrical release (not re-releases).
I won't necessarily wait to resolve until Avatar 3 is no longer earning any money in theaters—rather, I'll wait until there have been multiple consecutive weeks with sufficiently small grosses that it's abundantly clear it won't reach the next bucket.
The initial buckets cover 1.4B - 2.4B (with higher and lower results both covered by "Other"), but if it seems likely to over or undershoot I can add additional buckets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Avatar: Fire and Ash worldwide box office?
"Avatar: Fire and Ash" grosses >$2 billion worldwide?
9% chance
Avatar: Fire and Ash outperforms Avatar: The Way of Water at US Box Office?
1% chance
Where will Zootopia 2 end at the worldwide box office?
Will Avatar 4 have a better opening weekend than Avatar: Fire and Ash?
74% chance
Avengers: Doomsday worldwide box office?
In what year will there be a film that surpasses Avatar as the highest grossing film worldwide?
Michael worldwide box office?
Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?
75% chance
Will an Avatar film still be the highest grossing film of all time when James Cameron passes away?
32% chance