Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $200 before $100?
61
663
1k
Jun 16
94%
chance

Last price: 2024-May-24 $189.98

(will try to update major moves or every Friday after Nasdaq close)

Resolves YES if AAPL trades >= $200 without having first traded <= $100

Resolves NO if AAPL trades <= $100 without having first traded >= $200

during any regular (9:30am-4pm ET) or half-day (1pm early close around some US holidays) Nasdaq trading session after market creation (2023-Feb-12).

Will extend closing date as needed. Reference is publicly-quoted intraday high/low, adjusted for any future stock splits (e.g. if it splits 2:1 at $180 then quoted prices next day would be $90 post split but would not cause it to resolve NO since reference price for this market would be x2).

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Extended a couple months since it slid off the trigger.

boughtṀ20YES
reposted

Good

predicts YES

Still within range, extended another month.

bought Ṁ60 of NO

@deagol please extend, can't imagine this resolving tomorrow.

predicts YES

Extended it to Feb 3. Will do so month by month since the price is close to one of the extremes.

bought Ṁ24 of YES

Almost! today’s high 199.62, now 199.25

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Does this close N/A on the close date, or only when the stock hits $100 or $200?

sold Ṁ52 of NO

@KevinFischer in description:

Will extend closing date as needed.

predicts NO

@deagol Sorry about that, somehow missed that note!

predicts YES
predicts NO

after the first misstep, maybe a wider range is better

/deagol/will-apple-stock-aapl-fully-break-2-95d2bdcc6c94

predicts NO
bought Ṁ10 of NO
predicts NO
bought Ṁ15 of YES

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