Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $200 before $190?
Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $200 before $190?
5
110Ṁ3106resolved Jul 10
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Last price: 2023-07-07 $190.68
(will try to update every day after Nasdaq close)
Resolves after the first regular Nasdaq trading session (09:30-16:00 ET) after market creation (2023-06-30) during which the price stays above $200 (YES) or below $190 (NO) for the whole session. In other words, the first time one of these is the case after Nasdaq close:
Resolves YES if AAPL intraday low > $200
Resolves NO if AAPL intraday high < $190
Reference is publicly-quoted intraday high/low, adjusted for any future stock splits (e.g. if it splits 2:1 at $200 then quoted prices next day would be $100 post split but would not cause it to resolve NO since reference price for this market would be x2). Will extend closing date as needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.