Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $190 before $170?
74
closes Oct 1
11%
chance

Last price: 2023-09-27 $170.43

(will try to update meaningful moves after Nasdaq close)

Resolves after the first regular Nasdaq trading session (09:30-16:00 ET) after market creation (2023-08-11) during which the price stays above $190 (YES) or below $170 (NO) for the whole session. In other words, the first time one of these is the case after Nasdaq close:

Resolves YES if AAPL intraday low > $190

Resolves NO if AAPL intraday high < $170

Will extend closing date as needed. Reference is publicly-quoted intraday high/low, adjusted for any future stock splits (e.g. if it splits 2:1 at $180 then quoted prices next day would be $90 post split but would not cause it to resolve NO since reference price for this market would be x2).

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deagol avatar
Daniel Tellobought Ṁ63 of NO

close extends since price still within range. will go week by week.

1 reply
deagol avatar
Daniel Tellobought Ṁ73 of NO

@deagol extends another week

DanielHammond avatar
Daniel Hammondpredicts NO

“Daniel”s (myself included) seem over represented in $170 side. Not sure what this means.