Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $190 before $170?

Daniel Tello

closes Oct 1

11%

chance

ALL

Last price: 2023-09-27 $170.43

(will try to update meaningful moves after Nasdaq close)

Resolves after the first regular Nasdaq trading session (09:30-16:00 ET) after market creation (2023-08-11) during which the price stays above $190 (YES) or below $170 (NO) for the whole session. In other words, the first time one of these is the case after Nasdaq close:

Resolves YES if AAPL intraday low > $190

Resolves NO if AAPL intraday high < $170

Will extend closing date as needed. Reference is publicly-quoted intraday high/low, adjusted for any future stock splits (e.g. if it splits 2:1 at $180 then quoted prices next day would be $90 post split but would not cause it to resolve NO since reference price for this market would be x2).

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Daniel Tellobought Ṁ63 of NO

close extends since price still within range. will go week by week.

1 reply

Daniel Tellobought Ṁ73 of NO

@deagol extends another week

Daniel Hammondpredicts NO

“Daniel”s (myself included) seem over represented in $170 side. Not sure what this means.

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ0 NO at 11%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ177 NO from 12% to 11%

Daniel Hammond bought Ṁ75 NO from 13% to 12%

Daniel Hammond bought Ṁ25 NO at 13%

Daniel Tilkin sold Ṁ352 NO from 11% to 13%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ17 NO at 11%

Brian Caulfield bought Ṁ10 NO at 11%

Aidan Homewood bought Ṁ15 NO at 11%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ164 NO from 12% to 11%

Sierra sold Ṁ251 NO from 11% to 12%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ103 NO at 11%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 YES at 11% (cancelled) 🤖

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ261 NO from 9% to 10%

Bill sold Ṁ244 NO from 8% to 9%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ184 NO at 8%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 8% 🤖

Aditya Akula bought Ṁ327 NO from 9% to 8%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ113 NO at 9%

Ramble sold Ṁ91 NO from 8% to 9%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ68 NO at 8%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 8% 🤖

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ232 NO at 9%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ209 NO at 9%

Ramble bought Ṁ74 NO at 9%

Ramble bought Ṁ500 NO from 11% to 9%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ41/Ṁ100 YES at 11% (cancelled) 🤖

Ramble bought Ṁ1,000 NO from 15% to 9%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ91/Ṁ100 NO at 15% (cancelled) 🤖

Cquil Promp bought Ṁ75 NO at 16%

Ramble bought Ṁ65 NO from 17% to 16%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ19/Ṁ100 YES at 17% (cancelled) 🤖

Ramble bought Ṁ60 NO from 17% to 16%

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Ramble bought Ṁ100 NO from 19% to 18%

Ramble bought Ṁ100 NO from 20% to 19%

Ramble bought Ṁ100 NO from 21% to 20%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ32/Ṁ100 YES at 21% (cancelled) 🤖

Ramble bought Ṁ100 NO from 21% to 19%

Ramble bought Ṁ100 NO from 22% to 21%

Ramble bought Ṁ100 NO from 23% to 22%

Ramble bought Ṁ40 NO from 24% to 23%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ32/Ṁ100 YES at 24% (cancelled) 🤖

Aditya Akula bought Ṁ300 NO from 27% to 22%

Dmitry Bushev bought Ṁ25 NO from 28% to 27%

MrLuke255 bought Ṁ50 YES from 25% to 28%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ26 NO from 26% to 25%

Henri Thunberg bought Ṁ50 YES from 23% to 26%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 23% 🤖

Henri Thunberg bought Ṁ90 YES from 20% to 25%

Quadrifold bought Ṁ100 NO from 21% to 20%

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