Will Apple’s (AAPL) market cap hit $3 trillion before $2 trillion?
11
closes 2025
82%
chance

Last price: 2023-06-02 $180.95

Latest share count: 15.729 billion shares (source [PDF] p.2)

Current market cap = price*shares = $2.846 trillion

(will try to update every Friday after Nasdaq close)

Last year Apple's market cap fell from $3 trillion on 2022-01-03 to just under $2 trillion exactly a year later. Which of those will it be next?

Resolves YES if Apple's market cap hits >= $3 trillion without first hitting <= $2 trillion

Resolves NO if Apple's market cap hits <= $2 trillion without first hitting >= $3 trillion

during any regular Nasdaq trading session (09:30-16:00 ET) after market creation (2023-02-12).

Reference is publicly quoted intraday high/low multiplied by latest share count as found in regulatory filings published before the relevant high/low dates. Will extend closing date as needed.

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Daniel Tellois predicting YES at 72%
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Daniel Tellobought Ṁ10 of YES

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