Will SPD and Greens combined win more seats than CDU/CSU in the 2025 German federal election?
10
160Ṁ376resolved Feb 24
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if the combined number of seats won by the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the Green Party exceeds the combined seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) in the German federal election on February 23, 2025.
Resolution will be based on the official results published by the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiterin) at https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/
You can find a summary of current polling here, for example, and Spiegel's daily election outcome simulations with seat distributions as CSV here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ53 | |
| 2 | Ṁ37 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ7 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
39% chance
Will the broadly centrist parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
63% chance
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
40% chance
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
64% chance