This market will resolve YES (if manifold somehow survives) in the case that the sun explodes before market close at the end of 2024, otherwise it will resolve NO at that time.

This market is an experiment in measuring Manifold's current 2025 risk-free rate, which I suspect has changed recently.

Update in light of comments: I am referring to the sun exploding in the colloquial sense, not to any other technical sense of the word, where there is a conflict. If the sun is still around in basically the same form it is now at market close, this market will resolve NO.