
Resolves to the political status of Greenland on 1 January 2035
If Denmark remains within the Danish Realm, including the status quo, then the resolution will be "Territory of Denmark"
If Greenland becomes a US state, then the resolution will be "United States territory."
Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on de jure (legal) status, not de facto (actual) status.
Update 2026-01-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Greenland is divided between Denmark and the US, the market will resolve to Other.
People are also trading
@jks At any rate, I’ll judge what the international community has to say. My concern with using a “de facto” basis is that it would make things murky if the market were to resolve in the middle of a conflict. If there is a change to the status quo of Greenland, and that change doesn’t conflict with international law, that should be the new de jure status automatically.
Let's be serious, Greenland wouldn't last a year as an independent country
@ShakedKoplewitz I did not include US state because Greenland in its current form would likely need to double its population to even be considered. But if it did happen, it would resolve United States territory.
@thepurplebull do we need to wait until 2035?
The referendum and so on must be prepared. If no referendum preparations until 2032, might resolve Denmark