Resolves to the non-bot user that was active (made a bet, commented, or created a market) in the largest number of ten-minute periods between the official start and end times of season 7 of Manifold leagues.
Accounts tagged as bots are excluded, and API trades of non-bot-tagged accounts are excluded from activity.
Accounts with significant inorganic trading (i.e. they're noticeably placing trades with the supabase API to dodge the API tax - this is disallowed but I know who you are) are also excluded, based on my judgement (evidence can be provided if need be, but hopefully it doesn't come up).
In the case of a tie, the market resolves to an equal split of all tied users.
I'll resolve at market close using API data, and won't bet on this market.
In the case of duplicates, later-added answers will be ignored (I'll edit them to indicate this).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ280 | |
| 2 | Ṁ220 | |
| 3 | Ṁ32 | |
| 4 | Ṁ26 | |
| 5 | Ṁ17 |
No surprises here! it's @Joshua.
Script used to calculate here:
https://gist.github.com/chrisjbillington/86cf1dcd35df60ce5d2c7abb8b3bd9e1
Top 20 below for the curious.
Apologies for the delayed resolution, had to find time to write the script!
Most active
===========
1. Joshua active in 1989 buckets (45.1%)
2. deagol active in 1851 buckets (42.0%)
3. chrisjbillington active in 1352 buckets (30.7%)
4. Shump active in 1133 buckets (25.7%)
5. jacksonpolack active in 1131 buckets (25.6%)
6. firstuserhere active in 1117 buckets (25.3%)
7. NicoDelon active in 1090 buckets (24.7%)
8. TheBayesian active in 1088 buckets (24.7%)
9. ChristopherRandles active in 1010 buckets (22.9%)
10. SirCryptomind active in 985 buckets (22.3%)
11. SemioticRivalry active in 977 buckets (22.1%)
12. KnowNothing active in 946 buckets (21.4%)
13. Mira active in 924 buckets (20.9%)
14. Lion active in 908 buckets (20.6%)
15. Agh active in 844 buckets (19.1%)
16. FairlyFrozen active in 826 buckets (18.7%)
17. mattyb active in 743 buckets (16.8%)
18. BTE active in 704 buckets (16.0%)
19. IsaacKing active in 687 buckets (15.6%)
20. Panfilo active in 686 buckets (15.6%)@chrisjbillington I voted myself as a joke, still can't believe I am 10th 😂 I have been filling "Buckets" better this month now I know about the whole "bucketing of actions". lol.
Current leaderboard (Only using bet activity, not filtering out API bets):
1. Joshua (46.52%)
2. deagol (41.96%)
3. chrisjbillington (26.84%)
4. Shump (23.51%)
5. jacksonpolack (23.31%)
6. SemioticRivalry (21.04%)
7. Mira (20.72%)
8. firstuserhere (19.56%)
9. SirCryptomind (17.30%)
10. MarcusAbramovitch (9.00%)
Disqualified:
Ithaca (62.14%)
@bohaska I bet on myself as a joke, I didn't expect to even be in the top 10 of just bet activity, wild.
@bohaska Ithaca (counting API bets):
Filled buckets: 2741/4411
The Manifold API doesn't tell me whether a bet is API or human...
@chrisjbillington Ok, I found out that the bets api does show isApi if the bet is not a redemption bet and you are not searching for bets by contract.