When will Manifold fall below 1200 engaged users?
11
1.1kแน€25k
resolved Sep 27
100%99.9%
Sep 26th
0.0%
Sep 23rd
0.0%
Sep 24th
0.0%
Sep 25th
0.0%
Sep 27th
0.0%
Sep 28th
0.0%
Sep 29th
0.0%
Sep 30th
0.0%
October or later

Resolves according to https://manifold.markets/stats

An engaged user is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question on at least 2 out of 7 days in each of the past 3 weeks.

Market resolution will not respect manipulation attempts that violate Manifold's

community guidelines - this means use of bugs, an army of alts, botting, etc. Regular collusion and other kinds of manipulation that don't violate the community guidelines are fine.

In the event that community-guidelines-violating manipulation occurs, I will attempt to correct for it and be transparent about how I have done so.

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I plan to reopen these markets at 05:30 UTC (a little under half an hour from the time of comment) and have them resolve based on the new numbers henceforth, but disregarding retroactive changes to numbers published for previous days.

Let me clarify. If the stats for Sep 26 are the first to show less than 1200, but they are published on Sep 27, that counts as Sep 26, right?

@Shump Yes, that's correct

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