Conditional on countdown reaching 5s, will the next Starship orbital flight attempt experience a pre-launch abort?
Basic
4
Ṁ9235
resolved Apr 20
Resolved
NO

Refers to the next Starship orbital flight attempt with a livestream showing a countdown, after the scrubbed attempt on April 17th.

Resolves YES if the coundown shows 5s or less and the launch is aborted, regardless of whether there was ignition.

Resolves NO if the countdown shows 5s or less and the hold-down clamps are released or the vehicle is destroyed on the pad prior to hold-down clamp release.

Resolves N/A if the launch is scrubbed for the day or on vehicle destruction prior to the countdown showing 5s or less

If the launch attempt is definitively declared a scrub but they allow the countdown to run to 5s as a wet dress rehersal or similar, that will still resolve N/A.

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Clarified the criteria a bit - vehicle destruction on the pad prior to the countdown reaching 5s resolves N/A, vehicle destruction after that point resolves NO.

Remaining corner case - an abort immediately followed by vehicle destruction. Thinking I will resolve NO if it is clear that the imminent destruction was the cause of the abort (i.e. computer detected a problem it was not going to be able to address to prevent destruction but nonetheless 'aborted'), and YES if it looks like the abort was mostly unrelated to destruction.

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