How long until we see the first report of a true AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)
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26
Ṁ14452034
35%
1-3 years
22%
3-6 years
13%
7-10 years
30%
Over 10 years
OpenAI and others are trying to develop one. AGI has been defined as an autonomous system that surpasses human capabilities in the majority of economically valuable tasks.
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@MoritzBrodel lol no worries! When do you think I should set the target for? I only did 10 years because of the options :)
@MoritzBrodel I’m not 100% sure how it works, I think you get paid out when this resolves. So either a) we’ll see an AGI within 10 years and it resolves, or b) 10 years lapses and it’s a NO, worst case is 10 years, best case is unknown
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