This question resolves YES if the University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment is less than 90 points in every month from July 2024 to December 2025.
Consumer sentiment was regularly above 90 points from December 2014 until February 2020. The most recent figure for May was 69.1 points.
Will consumer sentiment remain below pre-pandemic levels every month until the end of 2025?
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@Sketchy right? Vibecession would be low sentiment but all other economic indicators coming in strong.
@KevinCurry Interesting, I hadn't thought of it that way but I see what you mean. One fact that struck me when making this question was how the vibes have been bad since the pandemic and have not recovered for half a decade - a trend that a recession would continue rather than end.
In any case @Sketchy yes for the purposes of this question a vibecession is when the economic vibes (via economic sentiment tracked by the University of Michigan) are below pre-pandemic levels, regardless of the state of the real economy. So it can still be a vibecession even if there's a real recession.
@cash makes sense! I wasnโt really suggesting changing the criteria I just thought it was sort of funny.
