If Joe Biden is elected and inaugurated as US President in the 2024 elections, will the "vibe" in the US return to pre-pandemic levels? The vibe will be determined by the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index.
Resolves YES if:
Any three consecutive months after Joe Biden is inaugurated, the consumer sentiment index is at or above 90.
AND
At no point after Joe Biden is inaugurated the consumer sentiment index falls below 65 for more than one consecutive month.
Resolves NO if:
Joe Biden is inaugurated as president and the consumer sentiment index never shows three consecutive months with a score of 90 or above before the midterm elections in 2026.
OR
Joe Biden is inaugurated and the consumer sentiment index has two or more consecutive months below 65.
Resolves N/A if:
Joe Biden is not inaugurated president following the 2024 elections.