What happens to the USA-Iran war when the 60 days War Powers Resolution end?

Question

I'd be interested in what traders think the Executive would use as legal justification to extending the conflict if Congress is against it (assuming we get to that). I'm hoping some of you will suggest new options for that.

All options that require the war to surpass the 60 days resolve NO if it doesn't.

In theory, this resolves early May, giving us a few extra months in case of shenanigans.

I will not trade in this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Trump continues in defiance of Congress (unspecified how), followed by Trump starts a new operation and claims he has 60 days more and Trump requests the 30 days withdraw extension in the War Powers Resolution, but uses it to attack instead are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Apr 23, 2026).