Will Nick Bostrom cease to be director of the Future of Humanity Institute before the end of 2024?
42
300
Ṁ6.6KṀ810
resolved Apr 17
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Nick Bostrom has been the founding director of the Future of Humanity Institute (FHI) at Oxford since 2005.
Will Nick Bostrom cease to be director of FHI (for any reason) before the end of 2024?
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ513 | |
| 2 | Ṁ83 | |
| 3 | Ṁ64 | |
| 4 | Ṁ22 | |
| 5 | Ṁ21 |
Sort by:
bought Ṁ70 YES
Hedging a little bit short of 100% as it's admittedly a bit of an edge case, but I'd argue you cease to be the director of an organization when it is closed down; his webpage homepage indeed now lists him as "Founding Director (2005-2024)"
Related questions
Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?
31% chance
What new information will surface this year about the sudden closure of Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute?
Will Nick Bostrom found a new institute with a similar purpose to the Future of Humanity Institute, before 2025?
59% chance
Will Sundar Pichai cease to be CEO of Alphabet before the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will Bret Taylor step down as Chairman of the Board of OpenAI by the end of 2024?
22% chance
Will Mark Zuckerberg cease to be CEO of Meta before 2030?
63% chance
Will the webpage of Future of Humanity Institute (FHI) still stay completely intact through EOY 2027?
42% chance
Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before 2030?
25% chance
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will Sam Altman stop being the CEO of OpenAI again at any point before 2028?
41% chance