When will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI?
4
1kṀ882
2026
7%
2025
9%
2026
9%
2027
9%
2028
9%
2029
9%
2030
9%
2031
37%
Other

Simple renaming: A straightforward renaming of the organization will count as OpenAI.

Mild restructure with renaming: If the rebranding is accompanied by only a mild restructuring, it almost certainly counts as OpenAI.

Large restructure: If the organization undergoes a significant restructure that leads to substantial or widespread disagreement about what constitutes "OpenAI," this could cause the market to resolve as NO even if Sam Altman remains CEO.

Temporary Leave doesn't count. Only permanent exit from the CEO position counts.

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