This question resolves YES if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2025. Otherwise resolves NO on 1 Jan 2026.

The next Israeli elections to the Knesset are not scheduled until late 2026, but Israel has had a recent history of snap elections.

• Update 2025-16-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:

  • Temporary cessations of the Prime Minister position that are trivial (e.g., similar to a US Vice President acting as President during short-term absences) will not resolve the market to YES.

  • If the Prime Minister ceases to be PM for a non-trivial period, the market resolves to YES, even if there is an agreement for Netanyahu to return as PM later.